Ok, but if he did it. Could it be, like a normal prison?
Like many convicted of white collar crime, Trump would likely go to a minimum security prison. But do not start to imagine the country clubs – minimum security prisons are still prisons.
“The biggest difference, I would say, is from the nature of the accommodation, [which might be] A dormitory framework against a cellular framework, “said Cardozo Law School Alexander Reinert professor.” But your freedom is still seriously limited while you are in the establishment. »»
But on the other hand, a minimum security prison may not be safe enough for such an important person. Although many high -level people have served a prison sentence before, it is difficult to assert that everything is close to Trump in terms of reputation (sorry, Martha). There would be major questions about his security: should he be held in a special unit, separated from the general population? Will the secret services come with him?
“It would be easier to provide this type of security and security in a high security prison,” said Reinert.
As this is a state case, Trump would go in an establishment of the State, which would be chosen by the Ministry of Correctional Services. As for the so-called Nourished club Installations where you could imagine rich and famous condemned by making time, it is only for federal crimes, as indicated by the ironic nickname. From Cohen was sentenced for federal accusations, he served his prison sentence to FCI Otisville, who Forbes Nicknamed one of the “most comfortable” prisons in the United States.
Trump could not come to the presidency of the prison, could he ??? Could he?!?!
Legally speaking, you bet.
“As long as he is over 35 years old UNITED STATESAnd a resident for at least 14 years, and only served as president once, he is eligible to present himself for a second term, “said Hasen.
And Trump himself said it was the plan. Addressing journalists of the conservative political action conference earlier this month, The hill reported, Trump said he “wouldn't even think about leaving” the race if it is charged, adding that “it will probably improve my figures”.
If he is found guilty of a crime, he could probably not vote for himself – the actively incarcerated people are generally ineligible to vote in the United StatesAnd Only some states Allow people who are guilty of voting after their release.
But could he really campaign in prison? Well, it happened before. In 1920, the candidate of the Socialist Party Eugene V. Debs won 3.4% of the popular vote of a cell in the Federal Penitentiary of Atlanta, where it was incarcerated On accusations of sedition for having made a speech opposing the draft of the First World War.
Logistically speaking, it's more difficult to say. “He would not be able to make gatherings, there are many people with whom he could not communicate, and he could not personally meet fundraising,” said Reinert. “His ability just to communicate with the outside world, even in a minimum security environment, would be considerably limited – and that is not even to say about the cost of the reputation he can have. When I think of all the things that the typical presidential candidate must do, you can do almost nothing if you are incarcerated.”
There is also the whole question of timing. Even if Trump East Finally sentenced and sentenced to prison, he would come after a very long trial which has not even started yet.
“If there will be a trial of Donald Trump, I doubt that the trial and all the calls are concluded before November 2024,” said Eisen.
Let's say he won the presidency. Could he then forgive himself?
It is not for this affair, because they are state accusations – presidential pards can only be granted for federal crimes.
If he were to be convicted of federal accusations … No one is completely sure. Shortly before leaving his duties, Trump would have launched the idea of forgive For potential crimes, whose legitimacy has been the subject of debates by legal specialists. In a MEMO from 1974The Ministry of Justice has taken the position that a self-card unconstitutionalBut it is not legally restrictive.
Unprecedented legal for such a decision, it is not clear if such forgiveness would really hold. But even if it was, it would still not be the end of his legal problems. “If he forgives himself, perhaps he would be charged for having done so and has been withdrawn from his duties of violence,” said Hasen.
Trump is also in trouble for a lot of other things, right?
On the right, in fact – the New York affair is only one of the many Trumps is faced, although in early April, it was not charged in any other case.
In GeorgiaA large jury investigates Trump's alleged attempt to overthrow the results of the 2020 elections. This case is based on a telephone call that Trump had a few days before the inauguration of Biden, during which he threatened and reprimanded The secretary of state of Georgia Brad Raffensperger to try to have him manipulate the results of the state elections in his favor. During their cat, Trump begged him to “find” enough votes to help him win. Shortly after Washington Post Published Audio disclosed from the appeal, prosecutors of the county of Fulton, in Georgia, opened a criminal investigation in “attempts to influence” the election. In a social truth video On March 21, Trump defended the call as “absolutely perfect”.
At the federal level, Trump is also the subject of an investigation for his alleged poorly managed Classified documentsas well as for his acts linked to the January 6 insurrection and the alleged attempts to overthrow the elections.
So, no matter what's going on with the New York affair, Trump is still deep legal danger.
“Donald Trump faces the most serious perspective to date – not only of prosecution, but real conviction – in all his half -century career and more Folding the edges of the law“Said Eisen.” It may be the moment when he finally falls. »»
